Why do so many retail investors believe they can beat the market despite the statistics proving otherwise?

Le post analyse les raisons pour lesquelles les investisseurs particuliers pensent pouvoir battre le marché malgré les statistiques qui prouvent le contraire, en particulier en raison des bons résultats des 10-15 dernières années et du manque d'expérience face aux marchés baissiers.

Sometimes I’ll browse some of the other investing forums on Reddit and the majority of them are people picking single stocks or investing solely into the Nasdaq or leveraged ETFs. My theory is that the past 10-15 years have been quite fruitful for retail investors. You could throw darts at a dart board containing top tech companies and make a pretty substantial return without much thought attached. Even with this slight downturn in the equities markets, I see people trying to hedge by selling and swapping into certain sectors. I also think it’s worth noting that the average age of the majority of Reddit users is 18-35 so many may have not seen a substantial bear market outside of the covid crash and 2022 market.